TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
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MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the outcome of a professional soccer match between GA Eagles and Sparta, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It determines whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold within regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various goal-differential thresholds for the GA Eagles vs Sparta professional Eredivisie soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026. Resolution occurs solely based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: GA Eagles winning by more than 2.5 goals, GA Eagles winning by more than 1.5 goals, Sparta winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Sparta winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market meeting its respective threshold resolves to 'Yes,' while all others resolve to 'No.' The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals willing to put their money where their mouth is. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for anyone looking to gain an edge in their understanding of the likely outcome of the GA Eagles vs Sparta match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts predicting a certain spread, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the GA Eagles vs Sparta match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will receive nothing. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly following the event’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies for either the GA Eagles or Sparta could significantly impact market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or changes in public perception of either team’s performance could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.