TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 8:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific in-game performance metrics for a professional League of Legends match between two esports teams. The outcome depends on whether predefined thresholds of tower kills are met by either team during a designated game. The rules account for various match disruptions while focusing on official statistics for resolution.
The event resolves based on whether G2 Esports achieves at least four tower kills or Hanwha Life Esports achieves at least eight tower kills in Game 2 of their scheduled match on October 30, 2026. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours or canceled before any relevant statistics are recorded, the market settles at the last fair price. If a forfeit occurs before any play, it contributes zero to the statistic; if after play has started, resolution uses officially recorded statistics unless voided. For shortened or replayed games, only officially published statistics count, with voided portions excluded. All outcomes rely on official league data, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league.
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds for this market to those offered by sportsbooks, as they often present probabilities differently. Sportsbooks typically offer odds in a format that implies a vigorish, or house edge, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of various outcomes. Discrepancies may arise due to differing opinions on team strength, player form, and strategic approaches. It's important to remember that prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of traders, while sportsbook odds represent the assessment of bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different potential tower kill totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of the likelihood of that specific tower kill total occurring in Game 2.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final tower kill count from Game 2 of the G2 Esports versus Hanwha Life Esports match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics provided by the League of Legends esports authorities. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that accurately reflects the total number of towers destroyed during the game, as determined by the official results.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player health, team strategies, or changes in the game meta could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected drafts during the match, early game advantages gained by either team, or exceptional individual performances could all lead to adjustments in the market prices. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in analyst predictions or social media discussions, could also impact trading activity and move this market.