TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 8:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team secures the first kill in a specific League of Legends match between G2 Esports and Hanwha Life Esports. The outcome depends on whether G2 Esports, Hanwha Life Esports achieves the first kill, or if no team manages to secure a kill during the game's early stages.
If G2 Esports records the first blood in game 2 of the Worlds 2026: G2 Esports vs. Hanwha Life Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hanwha Life Esports records the first blood in game 2 of the Worlds 2026: G2 Esports vs. Hanwha Life Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Neither team records the first blood in game 2 of the Worlds 2026: G2 Esports vs. Hanwha Life Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and historical data, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge. Discrepancies between the two can arise due to differing risk assessments and the influence of public sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards a fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and can influence how quickly prices react to new information. The current market reflects the collective wisdom of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on which team achieves the first blood in Game 2 of the G2 Esports versus Hanwha Life Esports match. The result will be determined by official game data and broadcast recordings, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions on Kalshi following the completion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or last-minute roster changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected drafts during the game itself, or early game performance in Game 1, could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, major upsets in other professional League of Legends matches might indirectly impact confidence in either team's ability to perform. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the relative strengths of G2 Esports and Hanwha Life Esports has the potential to move this market.