TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 8:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of G2 Esports and Hanwha Life Esports in a specific League of Legends match, focusing on how many times each team secures control of the dragon, a key in-game objective that provides significant advantages.
The event resolves based on the number of dragon kills achieved by each team in Game 2 of the specified match. Each market corresponds to a threshold of dragon kills for either G2 Esports or Hanwha Life Esports, with the market resolving to Yes if the team meets or exceeds their respective threshold. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before any relevant statistics are recorded, all markets resolve to the last fair price. If the match begins but is later forfeited, shortened, or replayed, resolution is based on officially recorded statistics up to the point of interruption, provided they are not voided by the governing body. Any voided statistics from replays or forfeited segments are excluded from resolution considerations.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates insights from individuals actively trading on the outcome. It’s common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes for the total dragon kills in Game 2. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to dynamic price movements. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of dragons killed in Game 2 of the G2 Esports versus Hanwha Life Esports match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and the market will pay out to those who correctly predicted the total dragon kills. Traders should monitor official League of Legends broadcasts and esports statistics websites for the final result and subsequent market settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding the players’ form, potential changes to team strategies, or even in-game events during Game 1 could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected early game dominance by one team, leading to increased map control and objective focus, might suggest a higher likelihood of dragon kills. Conversely, a very cautious or defensive playstyle could indicate fewer dragons will be contested. Analyst predictions and community discussions surrounding team compositions and expected gameplay could also contribute to price fluctuations.