TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the first map of the same Rainbow Six Siege match between G2 Esports and Falcons Esport. It will resolve based on which team claims victory in map 1 of their contest on October 12, 2026.
If G2 Esports wins map 1 in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026: G2 Esports vs. Falcons Esport R6 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Falcons Esport wins map 1 in the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026: G2 Esports vs. Falcons Esport R6 match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective predictions of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information, analytical approaches, or simply varying opinions on the likelihood of each team winning. If significant differences exist, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy 'yes' contracts (believing the outcome will occur) and ask to sell 'no' contracts (believing it won't). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, increased selling pressure on 'yes' contracts lowers the price and probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of Map 1 in the G2 Esports versus Falcons Esport CS2 match will determine the settlement of this market. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded result of the match, as reported by the tournament organizers and verified through reliable esports news sources. It's important to note that the market will close prior to the official result being declared, allowing time for settlement.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player form, team strategies, or any unexpected roster changes could all shift expectations. Major upsets in other matches leading up to the G2 versus Falcons matchup might also impact perceptions of each team's strength. Furthermore, any public statements from team members or analysts offering insights into the likely outcome could generate trading volume and price movement. Finally, large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the market’s direction.