TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the outcome of a specific Rainbow Six Siege esports match between G2 Esports and Falcons Esport, scheduled for October 12, 2026. The result depends on which team secures a victory in their respective league stage, directly determining the market's resolution. The event reflects competitive gaming where team performance in qualifying stages impacts head-to-head match outcomes.
The market resolves based on the result of the Europe MENA League Stage 2 2026 Rainbow Six Siege match between G2 Esports and Falcons Esport, scheduled for October 12, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If G2 Esports wins the league stage and the match occurs as scheduled, the G2 Esports market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Falcons Esport wins the league stage and the match occurs as scheduled, the Falcons Esport market resolves to Yes. Should the match be postponed beyond 48 hours of its original time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any action, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If play commences and a forfeiture occurs afterward, the market resolves according to the official result declared by the governing league or tournament organizer. Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Kalshi may move in the opposite direction. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event. It’s common to see this market offer insights that diverge from traditional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people want to buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the G2 Esports vs. Falcons match.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the G2 Esports vs. Falcons match as determined by the tournament organizers. The winning team, as declared by the official source, will be the basis for determining the winning contract in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes within either G2 Esports or Falcons could significantly shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches leading up to the event might also affect perceptions of team strength. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also create volatility. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to move the market price and volume considerably before Oct 12, 2026.