TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between G2 Esports and 100 Thieves in the VCT Champions 2026 will consist of multiple maps, with the total number determining the outcome. Each map is a separate best-of-three series, and the teams alternate home advantage. The event's resolution hinges on whether the cumulative maps played exceed 2.5.
If over 2.5 maps are played in the VCT Champions 2026: G2 Esports vs. 100 Thieves Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a particular map count is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, the total number of maps played in the G2 vs. 100 Thieves match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, these prices dynamically adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the expected result.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of maps played in the G2 vs. 100 Thieves Valorant match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the tournament organizer. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential roster changes for either G2 Esports or 100 Thieves, or strategic shifts revealed during practice sessions could all have an impact. Unexpected announcements about map pools or tournament formats could also move the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants on Kalshi can create momentum and trigger further price adjustments as the event approaches.