TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 8:30 AM EST
Kalshi
G2 Esports faces 100 Thieves in a best-of-three series, with the second map serving as a pivotal moment. The winner of this map could shift the momentum of the overall match.
If G2 Esports wins map 2 in the VCT Champions 2026: G2 Esports vs. 100 Thieves Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If 100 Thieves wins map 2 in the VCT Champions 2026: G2 Esports vs. 100 Thieves Valorant match originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or public betting patterns. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or interpretations, and it’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available before the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price discovery, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event’s outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. The current market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the G2 Esports versus 100 Thieves CS2 match. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to collect on winning contracts based on the final, official result of the match as reported by the event organizers.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for G2 Esports or 100 Thieves could significantly impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about map bans or tournament conditions could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, in-game performance during other matches leading up to this one, or even early performance within Map 1, might cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Major upsets in related CS2 events could also influence how traders value the likelihood of either team winning.