TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether 100 Thieves will win their Valorant match against G2 Esports. Currently, the probability of 100 Thieves winning on Kalshi is 99.0%, while G2 Esports winning is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the VCT Champions 2026: G2 Esports vs. 100 Thieves Valorant match, as reported by the official tournament results. Keep a close watch on Oct 16, 2026, as that is the scheduled date for the match and the end of the betting period for this market.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the designated Valorant match. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled before play, or forfeited prior to commencement, markets resolve to the fair market price. If a match begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official tournament result. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information and adjust to changing circumstances, potentially offering a more accurate view of the likely outcome than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow provide insights into the level of conviction behind each prediction. The current price movements are driven by traders responding to news, analysis, and their own independent assessments of the G2 vs. 100 Thieves match.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the G2 vs. 100 Thieves match as reported by the event organizers. The platform will verify the outcome against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out based on the final contract prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the match. Unexpected roster changes for either G2 Esports or 100 Thieves would likely cause significant price movement. News regarding player form, injuries, or strategic shifts could also impact the market. Major upsets in other recent matches involving these teams, or new analysis from esports experts, could shift trader sentiment. Any announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also play a role in how this market behaves.