TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 7:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether G2 Esports will win their Valorant match against 100 Thieves in the VCT Champions 2026, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives G2 Esports a 74.0% probability of winning, while 100 Thieves has a 25.0% probability. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match as reported by the official VCT Champions 2026 results. Keep a close watch on the match start time of October 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM EDT, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the VCT Champions 2026 Valorant match between G2 Esports and 100 Thieves scheduled for October 8, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If G2 Esports wins, the first market resolves to Yes; if 100 Thieves wins, the second market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed and does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited before any play occurs, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If the match begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities. If there's a significant difference, it might indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, where traders can profit by exploiting the price difference between the two venues. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the G2 vs. 100 Thieves match, as determined by the event organizers. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. The final price of the contracts will reflect the actual outcome, allowing traders to realize their profits or losses based on their initial predictions. This ensures a fair and objective settlement process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 8, 2026. News regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes within either G2 Esports or 100 Thieves could significantly shift perceptions. Unexpected announcements about team compositions or map picks could also impact the odds. Furthermore, general sentiment shifts based on analyst predictions or community discussions can drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Any developments that alter the perceived likelihood of either team winning are likely to be reflected in the market's pricing.