TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in the English National League. The result is determined solely by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Fylde vs Hartlepool professional English National League soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the game within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time; if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution exclusively considers the standard match duration, excluding any extra time or penalty phases.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If there is a significant difference between the two, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s a useful exercise to compare the two and consider why any discrepancies exist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Fylde vs Hartlepool match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, which causes the prices to fluctuate. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fylde vs Hartlepool match as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 27, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team form, weather conditions, or even tactical adjustments announced by the managers could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these teams could also impact perceptions of their relative strength. Any significant public statements from key personnel or major betting movements elsewhere could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.