TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 6:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team might win over the other. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that determines the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Furman vs Tennessee Tech college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If Tennessee Tech exceeds the specified point margin, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome is triggered; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders buying and selling contracts based on their individual assessments. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate differing beliefs about the likely outcome or an opportunity for arbitrage. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, but that isn't always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy and offer to sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Furman vs Tennessee Tech game. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more traders believe Furman will cover a certain spread, the price of contracts representing that spread will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards Tennessee Tech, the price will fall.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Furman vs Tennessee Tech game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers. The market will settle to 100 for the winning spread and 0 for the losing spread, reflecting the actual result of the game. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing spread will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Furman or Tennessee Tech teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the price. Finally, any large-volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and cause a noticeable shift in the spread.