TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 6:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This outcome centers on the first map of the same Rainbow Six Siege match between FURIA Esports and LOUD in the Challenger League 2026. The result hinges on which team's tactics and execution prevail across the initial set of rounds, shaping the early dynamics of the match.
If FURIA Esports wins map 1 in the Challenger League 2026: FURIA Esports vs. LOUD R6 match originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If LOUD wins map 1 in the Challenger League 2026: FURIA Esports vs. LOUD R6 match originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe FURIA Esports has a higher chance of winning map 1 than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of the 'yes' contract will rise, indicating greater confidence. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team performance and strategy. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether FURIA Esports will win map 1. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of FURIA Esports securing victory on the first map.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of map 1 in the CS2 match between FURIA Esports and LOUD. The platform will verify the winner through official game results and tournament organizers' announcements. Traders holding 'yes' contracts if FURIA Esports wins will receive a payout, while those holding 'no' contracts will not. The precise payout amount depends on the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either FURIA Esports or LOUD could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map vetoes or in-game adjustments during the match could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential traders on Kalshi could create short-term volatility. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of winning map 1 has the potential to impact this market.