TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of maps played in an upcoming League of Legends match between FURIA Esports and LOS. The outcome depends on whether the match extends beyond a certain number of maps, reflecting the competitive intensity and duration of the game. It provides insight into how analysts and fans expect the match to unfold strategically.
The event evaluates two separate conditions regarding the total number of maps played in the CBLOL 2026 match between FURIA Esports and LOS scheduled for October 10, 2026. The first condition resolves to Yes if more than 3.5 maps are played, meaning at least four maps occur. The second condition resolves to Yes if more than 4.5 maps are played, requiring at least five maps. Both conditions are independent, and each market will resolve based solely on its respective threshold being met. The match must be the one originally scheduled for the specified date and time; any rescheduling or cancellation may affect the outcome. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets often incorporate information and analysis not readily available to the general public, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different map totals in the FURIA vs. LOS match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, analysis, and their own predictions, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe a particular map total is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb. This creates a real-time, market-driven forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of maps played in the FURIA vs. LOS match – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Resolution will be based on official results published by the event organizer. The platform will then automatically settle all outstanding contracts based on the verified outcome, ensuring a transparent and reliable process for all participants.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team roster changes, or strategic shifts within FURIA or LOS could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or shifts in public sentiment expressed through social media and esports analysis, could also drive price movements. Furthermore, in-match performance during the early stages of the event could lead to rapid adjustments in the market as traders react to the unfolding action and reassess their predictions.