TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Fulham and Hull City, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specified number of goals. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different margin-of-victory scenarios in the Fulham vs Hull City professional EPL soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Four distinct markets resolve based on whether Fulham or Hull City wins by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded from consideration. Each market independently assesses a specific threshold for victory margin, with 'Yes' resolving if the actual goal differential meets or exceeds the specified threshold for the respective team. All markets operate under the same match conditions and timing parameters, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. This can lead to opportunities for informed traders to find value where discrepancies exist. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and insights faster than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity determine the price fluctuations, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Fulham vs Hull City match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result. The platform will automatically handle the payout process.
Several signals could move this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches, tactical adjustments, and even public statements from key players can all influence the price. Major upsets in other relevant games or shifts in overall league standings might also cause traders to reassess their predictions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.