TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Fulham and Crystal Palace. It evaluates various thresholds of goal counts to determine the outcome. The focus is solely on goals scored during the standard match duration, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event consists of multiple markets, each assessing whether a specific number of goals will be exceeded in the Fulham vs Crystal Palace EFL Cup match scheduled for October 28, 2026. All markets resolve based on the total goals scored after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with explicit exclusion of goals from extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to a different threshold—ranging from more than 0.5 goals up to more than 5.5 goals—and resolves to 'Yes' if the actual goal count surpasses its respective threshold. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The consistent regulatory framework across all markets ensures uniform application of timing and scoring criteria.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds influenced by house biases and differing risk assessments. While sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, this market allows participants to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new developments emerge closer to the event. Comparing these odds can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Fulham vs Crystal Palace match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various total goal ranges. The price of each contract reflects the market's current probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the final result. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, leading to a constantly evolving view of the likely goal total.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal tally from the Fulham vs Crystal Palace match, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verified data to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the match and official confirmation of the total goals scored.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Late injury reports for key Fulham or Crystal Palace players, particularly strikers or defenders, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect the style of play and goal-scoring potential. Team news regarding tactical formations or starting lineups, announced closer to kickoff, could also shift probabilities. Any significant news regarding team morale or manager decisions could also influence trading activity in this market.