TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the EFL Cup between Fulham and Crystal Palace. The result depends solely on which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Fulham vs Crystal Palace professional EFL Cup soccer game scheduled for October 28, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The outcome excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing only on the regular time result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injury reports – and as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from sportsbook lines. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market processes information independently. Analyzing these differences can reveal insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a constantly updating forecast of the match’s result.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fulham vs Crystal Palace match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The final score and any relevant match statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to see the confirmed result on Kalshi following the conclusion of the match and official data release.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 28, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Fulham or Crystal Palace would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Major news regarding team tactics or manager decisions might also play a role. Even external factors like weather conditions on match day could influence the perceived probabilities, causing fluctuations in volume and price on Kalshi.