TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 7:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Fulham FC and Crystal Palace FC, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fulham FC" if Fulham FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Crystal Palace FC" if Crystal Palace FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Fulham FC and Crystal Palace FC, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fulham FC" if Fulham FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Crystal Palace FC" if Crystal Palace FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with—or even anticipating—sportsbook odds. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, market participants, and incentives. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market is driven purely by traders predicting the outcome. If there's a significant difference, it may signal that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of either team scoring first, offering a potential arbitrage opportunity for informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the likelihood of each team taking the lead.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team—Fulham or Crystal Palace—scores the first goal in the match. In the event of a draw or any unusual circumstances affecting the game’s outcome, the platform’s rules will govern the resolution process. Traders should review those rules on Polymarket prior to participating to fully understand the conditions for settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Fulham or Crystal Palace would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role, as could any significant pre-match analysis from reputable football analysts.