TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:16 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for October 16 at 5:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the upcoming NPB game, scheduled for October 16 at 5:00AM ET: If the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks". If the Nippon Ham Fighters win, the market will resolve to "Nippon Ham Fighters". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the NPB. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and activity surrounding each potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks versus Nippon Ham Fighters championship series. The winning team, as declared by the NPB, will determine the outcome of this market. Traders who correctly predicted the winning team will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence this market. Key player injuries or unexpected performance changes for either the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks or the Nippon Ham Fighters would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. News regarding team strategies, pitching rotations, or managerial decisions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any major upsets in preceding playoff rounds or changes in public perception of each team’s chances could lead to substantial price movements in this market.