TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 8:44 AM EST
Kalshi
The market assesses whether the combined runs scored by Fukuoka Hawks and Yokohama DeNA BayStars in their October 25, 2026 game will exceed various thresholds. Outcomes depend on the total runs surpassing specific numerical benchmarks.
All four markets resolve based on the total runs scored by both teams in the specified NPB game. Each market has a different threshold: over 5.5, over 7.5, over 9.5, or over 11.5 runs. If the combined runs meet or exceed the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official connection with the league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. As a result, you may see differences between the implied probabilities on Kalshi and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. These discrepancies can arise from differing information, analytical approaches, or simply the collective insight of the crowd participating in this market. It’s valuable to compare both to form a more informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total run outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectation of market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price will move as more traders enter positions, and the most recent trades determine the current market price. The platform uses a dynamic pricing mechanism to ensure fair and efficient trading, allowing for real-time adjustments to reflect new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Fukuoka Hawks versus Yokohama DeNA BayStars game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Hawks or the BayStars would likely cause movement. Weather conditions, particularly forecasts for rain that could affect scoring, are also significant. Furthermore, performance in recent games, pitching matchups, and even expert analysis from baseball commentators could all shift traders’ expectations and impact the volume and price within this market. Unexpected developments are always possible, creating opportunities for informed traders.