TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Jubilo I
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 04h:34m:47s
$
This group covers the outcome of a J2 League soccer match between Fujieda MYFC and Júbilo Iwata on November 3, 2026. Markets ask whether Fujieda will win, Júbilo Iwata will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming J2 League game, scheduled for Tuesday, November 3, 2026 between Fujieda MYFC and Júbilo Iwata.
The event resolves based on the result of the Fujieda vs Jubilo I professional Japan J2 League soccer match scheduled for November 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Fujieda wins, the 'Fujieda' market resolves to Yes. If Jubilo I wins, the 'Jubilo I' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and stoppage, with no account for extended play or penalty decisions.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective opinions of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market's price reflects the aggregated beliefs of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than conventional betting venues. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply varying levels of market efficiency.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with potentially varying expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the resulting prices. These differences in user composition, volume, and platform mechanics contribute to the observed price discrepancies in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Fujieda vs. Iwata match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, including any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent determination of the winning outcome for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand the resolution.
Several signals could influence the probabilities in this market leading up to Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Fujieda MYFC or Júbilo Iwata would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or stadium changes could also be significant catalysts. Furthermore, broader trends in team performance or league standings, as well as public sentiment expressed through media coverage, could all contribute to shifts in the market’s predictions for the Fujieda vs. Iwata match.