TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:35 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 29 at 7:35AM ET: If the Fujian Sturgeons win, the market will resolve to "Fujian Sturgeons". If the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin win, the market will resolve to "Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming CBA game, scheduled for October 29 at 7:35AM ET: If the Fujian Sturgeons win, the market will resolve to "Fujian Sturgeons". If the Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin win, the market will resolve to "Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Predict and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the current market expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Fujian Sturgeons versus Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin game, as reported by official league sources. The market will then determine which outcome – a win for Fujian, a win for Shandong – was correctly predicted by traders. It’s important to note that the final result will be the sole determinant of the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Game-day updates, such as early scoring runs or key player performances, will also likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, broader news related to the Chinese Basketball Association or the teams involved could also affect the market. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into how traders are reacting to new information and adjusting their predictions.