TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 5:38 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between FSV Mainz 05 (MAI) and Werder Bremen (WER), scheduled for 2026-10-24 13:30 UTC. - MAI: If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - WER: If Werder Bremen wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MAI and WER options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between FSV Mainz 05 (MAI) and Werder Bremen (WER), scheduled for 2026-10-24 13:30 UTC. - MAI: If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - WER: If Werder Bremen wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MAI and WER options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective wisdom of traders, tends to more closely reflect the true probabilities of various outcomes. However, sportsbook odds can still be valuable for comparison, especially when identifying potential discrepancies or arbitrage opportunities. It's important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting, with prediction markets often benefiting from a broader range of information and participant motivations.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mainz vs Bremen match, as determined by the governing football league. The final score and any relevant match statistics will be used to verify the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mainz or Bremen would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day and any pre-game tactical announcements from the managers could impact trading activity. Major upsets in related football matches or broader league standings could also indirectly affect how traders assess the probabilities in this market.