TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:32 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between FSV Mainz 05 (MAI) and Bayer Leverkusen (BAY), scheduled for 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC. - MAI: If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - BAY: If Bayer Leverkusen wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MAI and BAY options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
This market refers to the Bundesliga match between FSV Mainz 05 (MAI) and Bayer Leverkusen (BAY), scheduled for 2026-10-10 13:30 UTC. - MAI: If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - BAY: If Bayer Leverkusen wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both MAI and BAY options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Bundesliga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.bundesliga.com/
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it may suggest that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s lines. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mainz vs Leverkusen match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final result and whether their predictions were accurate following the conclusion of the game. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mainz or Leverkusen would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market, as could large volume trades from informed participants on Opinion.