TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Bundesliga match scheduled for October 10, 2026, 13:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Bundesliga match scheduled for October 10, 2026, 13:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially when considering the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective beliefs of many traders. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from those on Limitless, it might indicate a discrepancy in perceived probabilities. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting, and neither is foolproof. The efficiency of this market can be influenced by the number of participants and the information available.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen scoring three or more total goals. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current volume of $2,060 suggests moderate interest in this particular market, and the price movements are driven by supply and demand among traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official number of total goals scored in the FSV Mainz 05 versus Bayer Leverkusen match. The final score will be sourced from official league data and verified to determine whether the total goals exceed or fall short of three. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer Leverkusen would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Limitless itself could drive price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in collective opinion about the likelihood of three or more goals being scored.