TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if both FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen score at least one goal each during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Bundesliga match scheduled for October 10, 2026, 13:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market will resolve to "YES" if both FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen score at least one goal each during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Bundesliga match scheduled for October 10, 2026, 13:30 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Limitless and sportsbook offerings, it could indicate differing perspectives on the event's outcome. It’s important to note that prediction markets aren't always more accurate, but they can offer a unique perspective on the potential result.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all participants on Limitless regarding the likelihood of both FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen scoring during the match. Volume of unknown indicates the level of trading activity influencing the price.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen score at least one goal each during the scheduled match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted both teams scoring will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before the match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer Leverkusen would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or managerial decisions might also play a role. A significant shift in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.