TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Frosinone and Torino will determine if more than zero goals are scored in total. This includes all goals scored during the 90-minute regulation time plus any added stoppage time, but excludes extra time and penalty shootout goals.
For each market, the outcome is determined by whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Frosinone vs Torino professional Serie A soccer game, originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, exceed a specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from the count. The market resolves to Yes if the total goals exceed the threshold, and No otherwise. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s prices are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price in this market will move to reflect that collective view. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Frosinone vs Torino match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Frosinone vs Torino match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Frosinone or Torino would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also shift prices. Late-breaking team news, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even significant shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Nov 1, 2026.