TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 10:56 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Frosinone and Torino will determine if Frosinone or Torino wins by a margin greater than specified thresholds. This includes all goals scored during the 90-minute regulation time plus any added stoppage time, but excludes extra time and penalty shootout goals.
For each market, the outcome is determined by whether Frosinone or Torino wins the Frosinone vs Torino professional Serie A soccer game, originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, by more than a specified margin (1.5 or 2.5 goals) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded. If the opposing team wins, the market resolves to No regardless of the margin. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically established by analysts who may be influenced by biases or incomplete information. This market, however, allows a larger group of participants to express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information becomes available. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as the event approaches and more information surfaces, and can sometimes offer a different perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the expected spread. The current price reflects the market’s aggregate forecast for the final result of the match.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Frosinone vs Torino match will be the determining factor, and that information will be sourced from official sports data providers. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread matches the contract’s specified outcome, and to 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Frosinone or Torino would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role, as could large-volume trades from informed participants on Kalshi.