TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Frosinone Calcio and US Sassuolo Calcio. The market also includes an option for neither team scoring in the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.
In the upcoming match between Frosinone Calcio and US Sassuolo Calcio, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Frosinone Calcio" if Frosinone Calcio are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "US Sassuolo Calcio" if US Sassuolo Calcio are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Frosinone Calcio and US Sassuolo Calcio, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Frosinone Calcio" if Frosinone Calcio are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "US Sassuolo Calcio" if US Sassuolo Calcio are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals wagering their own capital, creating a dynamic price discovery process. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, both aim to accurately predict the probability of an event, and comparing them can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome of this market.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Frosinone vs Sassuolo first-to-score market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, influencing their trading decisions. Trading volume also plays a role; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and liquidity provision differ between Polymarket and Predict, impacting how quickly prices adjust to new information. These factors contribute to potential discrepancies in the perceived probability of either team scoring first.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Frosinone Calcio or US Sassuolo Calcio would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected news related to key players or managerial decisions could also trigger price movements. Monitoring team lineups and pre-match analysis will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on any new information that emerges.