TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 3:50 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Serie A game between Frosinone Calcio and US Lecce, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Frosinone Calcio" if Frosinone Calcio score more goals than US Lecce in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Frosinone Calcio and US Lecce score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "US Lecce" if US Lecce score more goals than Frosinone Calcio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between Frosinone Calcio and US Lecce, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Frosinone Calcio" if Frosinone Calcio score more goals than US Lecce in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Frosinone Calcio and US Lecce score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "US Lecce" if US Lecce score more goals than Frosinone Calcio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market relies on the aggregated predictions of informed traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbook odds may initially be more influenced by expert analysis, this market can sometimes offer a more accurate forecast as the event approaches, incorporating a broader range of perspectives and real-time adjustments based on trading volume.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe Frosinone Calcio will win the second half, for example, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on Polymarket and adjusts in real-time based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result—whether Frosinone Calcio, US Lecce, or a draw—will be determined by the official result of the second half of the Frosinone Calcio vs. US Lecce match. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of the market for all traders.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Frosinone Calcio or US Lecce would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all contribute to shifts in sentiment. Unexpected events during the first half of the match, such as a red card or an early goal, would also likely cause substantial movement in this market as traders react to the evolving situation.