TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 3:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Serie A game between Frosinone Calcio and US Lecce, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Frosinone Calcio vs. US Lecce match originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between Frosinone Calcio and US Lecce, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the Frosinone Calcio vs. US Lecce match originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering on their beliefs about the outcome. If sportsbook odds strongly disagree with the probabilities shown on Polymarket, it might indicate a potential opportunity for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result of the first half.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact first-half scores, and the price of each share reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are influenced by factors like team form, injuries, and pre-match analysis, all synthesized by the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official, final score at the end of the first half of the Frosinone Calcio versus US Lecce match. The official score, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will determine which outcome, if any, corresponds to the exact first-half score represented in this market. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Frosinone or Lecce would likely cause price shifts. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before kickoff could also influence trading activity. Even weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect expectations and move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable football commentators could sway trader sentiment and alter the probabilities on Polymarket.