This event group covers a Serie B professional soccer match between Frosinone Calcio and UC Sampdoria scheduled for March 8, 2026. Three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the outcome: whether the match ends in a draw, whether Sampdoria wins, and whether Frosinone wins. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across all three outcome markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from Lega Serie B (Italian Serie B governing body) as recognized by event organizers; credible reporting consensus acceptable if official stats not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Match result determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise
Sampdoria win market resolves Yes if Sampdoria wins, No otherwise
Frosinone win market resolves Yes if Frosinone wins, No otherwise
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, draw market resolves Yes and both win markets resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and a result is determined.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, the draw market resolves to Yes (treating cancellation as a non-decisive outcome), while both win markets resolve to No (no winner can be determined).
Official Statistics Delay: If Lega Serie B does not publish official match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may proceed using consensus from credible sports reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and official statistics are published by Lega Serie B or credible reporting consensus is established, typically within 2 hours of match end.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.