TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.1b
24H VOL:
$337,672,170
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,014,360,784
421,272
Markets across
40,138
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,437
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 11:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks users to forecast which team, Frosinone Calcio or Torino FC, will win the second half of a Serie A soccer match, or if the second half will end in a draw. The markets focus solely on goals scored during the second half of regular play, including stoppage time.
In the upcoming Serie A game between Frosinone Calcio and Torino FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Frosinone Calcio" if Frosinone Calcio score more goals than Torino FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Frosinone Calcio and Torino FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Torino FC" if Torino FC score more goals than Frosinone Calcio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Serie A game between Frosinone Calcio and Torino FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Frosinone Calcio" if Frosinone Calcio score more goals than Torino FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Frosinone Calcio and Torino FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Torino FC" if Torino FC score more goals than Frosinone Calcio in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind them. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market’s implied probabilities reflect the actual beliefs of participants, potentially offering a more accurate signal than sportsbook lines. Furthermore, prediction markets allow for continuous price discovery as new information becomes available, whereas sportsbook odds are typically adjusted less frequently. This dynamic can create discrepancies between the two.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Frosinone vs. Torino second half can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform typically leads to more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific rules and interfaces of each platform can influence trading behavior. For example, Polymarket might see more activity from sophisticated traders, while Predict could attract a broader audience. These differences in participation and platform mechanics contribute to the observed price discrepancies.