TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Frontale vs Nagoya: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Frontale vs Nagoya?

Volume:
$11,578

Frontale wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Frontale wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 5:03 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Frontale wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,328
N/A
N/A
$5,073
Settled
No
kalshi

Nagoya wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,754
N/A
N/A
$1,684
Settled
No
kalshi

Frontale wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,714
N/A
N/A
$1,682
Settled
No
kalshi

Nagoya wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$782
N/A
N/A
$655
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event includes several markets centered around the margin of victory in the Frontale vs Nagoya soccer match. Different markets specify varying goal differences required for either team to win by enough goals to resolve as 'Yes'.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the margin of victory in the Frontale vs Nagoya professional Japan J1 League soccer game scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Markets are structured around specific winning margins: Frontale must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while Nagoya must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals for the respective markets to resolve to 'Yes'. Each market operates independently with its own threshold for resolution. Kalshi emphasizes that it is not officially connected with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Frontale vs Nagoya match tracks the current price of contracts representing different spread outcomes. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has fluctuated over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $11,069. The total volume traded on this market to date is $11,578. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and see how actively traders are participating in predicting the final spread of the game.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy between the two, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular spread occurring in the Frontale vs Nagoya match. It’s a useful comparison for informed bettors.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the final spread matches the corresponding outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Frontale vs Nagoya match, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts payout. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s value at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand the market’s final settlement.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Frontale or Nagoya teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s style of play, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, unexpected announcements about team tactics or starting lineups could lead to adjustments in the market price as traders reassess the probabilities of different spread outcomes in the Frontale vs Nagoya match.