TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 1:04 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Fresno State will win their college football game against Washington State by more than 6.5 points. Currently, the probability of Fresno State winning by over 6.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Fresno State vs Washington State game, with resolution details found in the provided resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves based on the final score following the originally scheduled game date of October 3, 2026, with a final resolution date estimate of 2026-10-04.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Fresno State vs Washington State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Washington State wins by a margin exceeding the specified threshold, the corresponding 'Washington St. wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes; if Fresno State wins by more than the specified threshold, the relevant 'Fresno St. wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or market dynamics. If there’s a significant difference, it might suggest that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Fresno State vs. Washington State game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Fresno State vs. Washington State game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which side of the spread was covered. The market will settle to 100 for the winning side and 0 for the losing side, based on the final score and the established spread. Traders will then receive or pay out based on their positions.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Fresno State or Washington State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game (e.g., heavy rain or strong winds), could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news related to team morale, coaching decisions, or unexpected lineup changes could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.