TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Fresno St. vs Washington St.: 4th Quarter Winner
kalshi

Fresno St. vs Washington St.: 4th Quarter Winner

Volume:
$6,077

Fresno St.

 - Kalshi

Fresno St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 1:13 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fresno St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,203
N/A
N/A
$3,385
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Washington St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,119
N/A
N/A
$956
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$755
N/A
N/A
$650
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Fresno State and Washington State. It provides a way to bet specifically on the performance of each team in the last 15 minutes of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on the points scored during that specific segment of the game.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the fourth quarter of the Fresno State vs Washington State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026, excluding overtime. If Washington State scores more points in that quarter, the market resolves to Yes for the Washington State outcome. If Fresno State scores more points, the market resolves to Yes for the Fresno State outcome. If both teams score the same number of points in the fourth quarter, the market resolves to Yes for the Tie outcome. Postponements that commence within 48 hours of the original start time do not affect resolution; the market resolves based on the official result once the game is played. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Fresno State vs. Washington State game tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing in the probability of each team winning the fourth quarter. The current volume is $6,077, and the total volume traded to date is $6,077. This allows traders to see how sentiment shifts over time and identify potential trading opportunities based on market activity. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the likely outcome of this contest.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. If a large number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced a team’s chances, they can express that view in this market, driving the odds in a different direction. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for those who identify them.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time estimate of the potential winner of the fourth quarter. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to fluctuations in price and probability.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score of the fourth quarter of the Fresno State vs. Washington State game will be used to determine the winning team. The market will settle to 100 for the winning team and 0 for the losing team. The resolution process relies on publicly available and widely accepted sports data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier parts of the game could also lead to rapid price adjustments. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed bettors could indicate a shift in expectations. Monitoring these factors and staying updated on the latest game information is crucial for understanding potential market movements and making informed trading decisions.