TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Fresno St. vs Washington St.: 1st Quarter Spread
kalshi

Fresno St. vs Washington St.: 1st Quarter Spread

Volume:
$7,203

Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 10:24 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
$223
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,475
N/A
N/A
$3,429
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington St. wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,983
N/A
N/A
$451
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
$137
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$404
N/A
N/A
$404
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington St. wins by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$256
N/A
N/A
$256
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington St. wins by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$109
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington St. wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$109
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington St. wins by over 3.5 points

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
No
kalshi

Fresno St. wins by over 7.5 points

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first quarter of a college football game between Fresno State and Washington State. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold that must be exceeded by either team to determine the outcome.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the Fresno State vs Washington State college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For markets where Fresno State wins by a specified margin (e.g., over 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points), the market resolves to Yes only if Fresno State achieves that margin or greater in the first quarter. Conversely, for markets where Washington State wins by a specified margin (e.g., over 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points), the market resolves to Yes only if Washington State secures that margin or greater in the first quarter. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first quarter of play. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Fresno State vs. Washington State spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to analyze how expectations have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $7,097, and the total overall volume traded in this market, which is $7,203. This provides insight into market activity and interest in predicting the outcome of the first quarter.

Generally, prediction markets and sportsbooks often arrive at similar probabilities, but they do so through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. If significant differences exist between this market and sportsbook odds, it may signal an opportunity for informed traders to exploit those discrepancies.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the first quarter of the Fresno State versus Washington State football game will determine the winning contracts. Specifically, the outcome will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders will be able to see which contracts paid out based on this official result.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries for either Fresno State or Washington State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could move the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends and media coverage, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.