TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Fresno St. wins by over 1.5 points
- Kalshi
Fresno St. wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 05d:04h:46m
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This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Fresno St. vs Utah St. college football game scheduled for Nov 7, 2026. For markets specifying a point differential, if the named team achieves a win by more points than the stated threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly bet against each other, theoretically resulting in more efficient pricing. However, sportsbook odds are widely publicized and readily available, offering a common point of comparison for those new to prediction markets. It's common to see initial discrepancies between the two, which may narrow as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes of the Fresno State vs. Utah State spread. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Fresno State vs. Utah State football game. The market will then settle based on whether the actual spread falls within the ranges defined by the contracts available on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Fresno State or Utah State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the odds. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also move the market. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, causing prices to adjust rapidly.