TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential point differentials in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, reflecting varying levels of confidence in the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Fresno State vs San Diego State college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For Fresno State markets, resolution occurs if they win by exceeding the specified point margin; for San Diego State markets, resolution occurs if they win by exceeding their specified margin. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential they selected.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, this market allows individuals to trade on their own predictions, leading to odds that may diverge from those offered elsewhere. It's common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, such as injuries or weather reports, potentially leading to odds movements that differ from those at sportsbooks. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed bettors.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Fresno State vs San Diego State game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting a spread that matches the final result will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The market’s resolution is based on the official result of the game, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. News regarding key player injuries for either Fresno State or San Diego State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, potentially driving price changes in this market.