TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points specifically in the fourth quarter of an upcoming college football game between Fresno State and San Diego State. It tracks performance in a single quarter rather than the full game outcome, adding a layer of tactical analysis for participants.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points during the fourth quarter of the designated game, excluding any overtime periods. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains active and resolves according to the official result. Should the game fail to commence within this 48-hour window, the market settles at a fair price. All outcomes—San Diego State winning the quarter, Fresno State winning the quarter, or a tie—are evaluated solely on points scored in that specific quarter, with no consideration given to the overall game result or points from other quarters.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal interesting insights into how different groups perceive the likelihood of each team winning the 4th quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the 4th quarter of the Fresno State vs. San Diego State football game will determine the payout. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine which contracts settle at $1 and which settle at $0. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Fresno State or San Diego State would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the perceived likelihood of each team winning the 4th quarter. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategy or coaching decisions could sway trader sentiment. As the game draws closer, even minor updates could lead to volatility in this market.