TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between French Guiana and Belize. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the competitive nature of the game and expectations for scoring intensity.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the French Guiana vs Belize professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals scored during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties) exceed the specified threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. The resolution is based solely on the official match result as recorded by CONCACAF. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with CONCACAF, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the event’s potential results. It’s common to see this market offer a more nuanced view than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the French Guiana vs Belize match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to represent the probability of each outcome as perceived by the market participants, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the French Guiana vs Belize match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football association, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the winning contract. Traders will be able to view the resolved outcome on Kalshi and any associated payouts will be processed accordingly. The final score will be the sole determinant of the market's resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in team formations for either French Guiana or Belize could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also play a role, potentially affecting the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities. Furthermore, any updates on player form or tactical approaches from reliable sources could lead to shifts in the market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information available before Oct 7, 2026.