TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 1:50 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for October 6 at 10:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for October 6 at 10:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights and potentially identify mispriced opportunities, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand from traders on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. This allows for a fluid valuation based on evolving information and opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the French Guiana vs. Belize match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 7, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected developments related to the match could shift trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or logistical challenges affecting the match could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s implied probabilities and inform your trading decisions.