TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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French Guiana vs. Belize
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of French Guiana vs. Belize?

Volume:
$919,305

French Guiana

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 6, 11:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

French Guiana

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$507,190
N/A
N/A
$256,166
Settled
Yes
polymarket

French Guiana

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,989
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188,927
N/A
N/A
$91,809
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (French Guiana vs. Belize)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,865
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Belize

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$177,240
N/A
N/A
$116,777
Settled
No
polymarket

Belize

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,094
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a soccer match between French Guiana and Belize, scheduled for October 6, 2026, within the Concacaf Nations League. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket indicates a 100.0% probability of French Guiana winning. Belize winning is currently estimated at 0.1%. Resolution will be based on official statistics from Concacaf, with fallback sources including Flashscore and Sofascore. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 6, 2026, to see if the predicted outcome holds true as the game progresses.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets consistently define resolution based on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time and share the same fallback resolution sources.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Concacaf), with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, and credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is canceled without a reschedule, the win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • The primary resolution source is official match statistics, with clearly defined fallbacks.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between French Guiana and Belize.

Kalshi

This event covers three possible outcomes of a professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, between French Guiana and Belize. The market resolves based solely on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either French Guiana, Belize, or a tied score is the final result after regular time. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, such as those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and differing incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective belief of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when significant information isn’t yet reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on popular events, and liquidity can vary greatly between the two. Examining both can provide a more holistic view.