TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Freiburg and Wolfsburg. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match is part of the DFB Pokal tournament and follows standard soccer timing rules.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Freiburg vs Wolfsburg professional DFB Pokal soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026. All markets resolve solely on the count of goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, with explicit exclusion of any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a progressively higher threshold of total goals (ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals), where exceeding the specified threshold results in a 'Yes' resolution for that particular market. The resolution is strictly tied to the official match result as recorded by the governing league, and Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the match. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Freiburg vs Wolfsburg match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various goal totals, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Freiburg vs Wolfsburg match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The contract corresponding to the correct total goals will pay out $1.00, while all other contracts will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Freiburg or Wolfsburg would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact the market. Even tactical announcements from either manager, such as a confirmed change in formation, could shift expectations and alter the price of contracts representing different total goal outcomes. Public sentiment and betting trends could also play a role.