TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 3:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Freiburg and Wolfsburg in the DFB Pokal tournament. The focus is on determining whether either team wins in regular time or if the game ends in a tie. The resolution depends strictly on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Freiburg vs Wolfsburg DFB Pokal soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Freiburg wins within this timeframe, the Freiburg market resolves to Yes. If Wolfsburg wins, the Wolfsburg market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets exclusively consider regular-time results, with no account for post-match deciding mechanisms such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of an outcome. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. It's common to see prediction markets being more accurate than traditional polls or even sportsbook lines, as they aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and allow participants to hedge their positions. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful data point when evaluating this market.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Freiburg vs Wolfsburg match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts. It’s important to monitor news and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Freiburg or Wolfsburg would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team dynamics could also move the market. Monitoring sports news and analysis focused on both teams is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the odds in this market before Oct 28, 2026.