TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional Bundesliga soccer match between Freiburg and Schalke. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the expected offensive intensity of the game.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Freiburg vs Schalke Bundesliga match scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty kicks—must exceed the respective threshold. All markets share the same underlying match and time parameters, ensuring consistency across outcomes. The resolution solely depends on the final goal count, with no additional conditions or external factors influencing the result.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts, while this market’s prices are determined by traders buying and selling contracts. This can lead to discrepancies, as the market may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook models. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Freiburg vs Schalke match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The goal is to buy contracts at a price lower than what you believe the outcome probability is, and sell them at a higher price.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Freiburg vs Schalke match will be the determining factor. The final score, as reported by official sources, will be used to determine which contracts payout and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout based on the market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Freiburg or Schalke would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected goal total. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical shifts revealed before the match could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any major news related to team morale or internal issues could also play a role in how this market behaves.