TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Freiburg will win its professional Bundesliga soccer game against Schalke. Currently, Kalshi gives Freiburg a win probability of 82.0%, while a tie is priced at 16.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result reported by Kalshi. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the match on October 11, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the 90-minute window for resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the Freiburg vs Schalke professional Bundesliga soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Freiburg wins, the 'Freiburg' market resolves to Yes. If Schalke wins, the 'Schalke' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the varying motivations of bettors versus prediction market traders. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, or simply a divergence in opinion about the likely outcome of the Freiburg vs Schalke match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to new information or changing sentiment regarding the Freiburg vs Schalke match. The current volume is $1,227,870.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Freiburg vs Schalke match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on this official result, and payouts will be distributed to contract holders accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader trends in soccer performance could impact the perceived probabilities of each outcome in the Freiburg vs Schalke match. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market.