TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Freiburg and Jablonec in the Conference League. The focus is on determining whether either team wins the match within regular time, or if the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Freiburg vs Jablonec professional Conference League soccer match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Freiburg wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Freiburg' market resolves to Yes. If Jablonec wins within the same timeframe, the 'Jablonec' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes only, with no account for extended play or penalty shootouts.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each venue. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Freiburg vs Jablonec match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances on Kalshi once the resolution is complete. The outcome will be determined by the final score of the match.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding matches, or even public statements from key players, could also influence the odds. Major upsets in related matches or changes in betting patterns at sportsbooks might also cause movement. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential shifts in this market before Oct 15, 2026.