TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Freiburg and Bayern Munich. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes. The resolution depends solely on the final count of goals after the standard match duration, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on whether the total number of goals scored by both teams in the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich professional Bundesliga soccer game scheduled for October 25, 2026, exceeds specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The count includes all goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any added stoppage time, but explicitly excludes any goals that might be scored during extra time or penalty shootout phases. All markets share the same resolution criteria structure, differing only in the goal threshold they reference. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of over 3.5 goals being scored in the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional betting markets, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of over 3.5 goals being scored in the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading in this market, providing a real-time assessment of the expected outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of goals scored by both teams during regulation time. If the match is canceled or postponed, specific rules apply as outlined on Kalshi, but the intention is to determine whether over 3.5 goals were scored if and when the match is officially completed. The outcome will be determined by the official match statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Freiburg or Bayern Munich would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sources, could trigger price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of over 3.5 goals being scored in the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich match has the potential to move this market.