TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Freiburg vs Bayern Munich: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Freiburg vs Bayern Munich?

Volume:
$286,026

Bayern Munich wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Bayern Munich wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 25, 2:27 PM EST

kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bayern Munich wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$155,307
N/A
N/A
$74,912
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bayern Munich wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94,861
N/A
N/A
$55,055
Settled
No
kalshi

Freiburg wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,438
N/A
N/A
$18,907
Settled
No
kalshi

Bayern Munich wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,939
N/A
N/A
$9,655
Settled
No
kalshi

Freiburg wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,057
N/A
N/A
$3,053
Settled
No
kalshi

Bayern Munich wins by more than 4.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,425
N/A
N/A
$1,425
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks various scoring margin outcomes for an upcoming professional Bundesliga soccer match. It focuses on determining whether specific teams achieve victories by particular goal differences. The resolution depends entirely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential scoring margin scenarios across a single professional Bundesliga soccer match between Freiburg and Bayern Munich. Resolution occurs based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty outcomes. Four distinct criteria define a 'Yes' resolution: Freiburg winning by more than 2.5 goals, Freiburg winning by more than 1.5 goals, Bayern Munich winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Bayern Munich winning by more than 2.5 goals. All markets share identical secondary disclaimers regarding the unaffiliated status of Kalshi with the governing league and acknowledge the ownership of all related trademarks, logos, and brand names by their respective parties. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, rendering extra time and penalty shootouts irrelevant to any resolution determination.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $258,971, and the total volume traded on this market is $286,026. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment and allows you to analyze trading activity related to this specific soccer match.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. If you observe a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price movements, creating a dynamic environment where prices adjust based on supply and demand. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final scoreline of the game, as reported by official sources. The market will determine which outcome – Freiburg winning by a certain margin, Bayern Munich winning, or a draw – aligns with the verified result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Freiburg or Bayern Munich would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could trigger rapid price movements. Any information perceived as altering the probability of a specific outcome in the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich match will likely be reflected in the market price.